Nigeria – Election Preparedness. It is anticipated based on the previous five elections (1999, 2003, 2007, 2011, and 2015) a total number of two million (2,000,000) people are likely to be affected from 26 states (out of 36) classified as medium to high risk, these are: Sokoto, Niger, Kwara, Imo, Akwa Ibom, Lagos, Katsina, Jigawa, Kogi, Osun, Oyo, Edo, Ekiti, Zamfara, Ogun, Borno, Yobe, Adamawa, Kano, Benue, Rivers, Kaduna, Nasarawa, Plateau, Abia, and Bauchi. There are two main lessons learnt from the previous 2015 election: One lesson learnt is that more geographic divisions were impacted by election violence then were planned for (5 divisions). Consequently, the number of target divisions has increased by one. In addition, there were funding constraints to accommodate the additional divisions as NRCS was not aware that there is a possibility to receive a second allocation for the DREF. In the event there is a need to scale up, NRCS will request for a second allocation. According to the latest risk analysis, 2,000,000 are projected to be at-risk of violence. The NRCS caseload they can cover is 300,000 of these projected to be at-risk. The DREF operation is expected to support up to 300,000 people. Many of the affected people are likely to be those attending rallies during the campaign period and those participating in the voting process on the polling days. After the elections, if there is dissatisfaction among people with the outcome of the election results, violence may affect many people (including women, children, residents, security officers, electoral officers) and the affected will be provided with assistance by the NRCS volunteers and staff. The NRCS will target the most vulnerable populations, such as; women, children, disabled, and elderly (amongst others). 15 states which include Sokoto, Niger, Kwara, Imo, Akwa, Ibom, Lagos, Katsina, Jigawa, Kogi, Osun, Oyo, Edo, Ekiti, Zamfara, and Ogun
300,000 – Particularly the most vulnerable groups; women, children, disabled, and elderly (amongst others).