Locally-led Anticipatory Action

Disasters do not arrive without warning. Floods, droughts, disease outbreaks, for many of these events, forecasts exist days or weeks in advance. The question is whether communities and National Societies have the tools, the plans and the resources to act on those forecasts before they make impact.

The Netherlands Red Cross works with National Societies to build that capacity. The work covers three connected areas. The first is developing anticipatory action protocols: pre-agreed plans that define what actions to take, when to take them, and how to fund them, based on forecast triggers. The second is co-designing early action plans with communities themselves, drawing on local knowledge, indigenous early warning indicators and community-driven solutions for floods, droughts and climate-sensitive disease risks. The third is helping National Societies embed anticipatory action into national disaster risk management systems, so that early action becomes a structural part of how a country prepares, not a one-off project. Support has been applied in Uganda, Zambia and beyond, across floods, droughts and public health risks.

How we work together

Support is technical and hands-on, shaped around the hazard context and the capacity of the National Society. It can include:

  • Developing anticipatory action protocols end-to-end: trigger analysis, hazard and risk assessment, feasibility studies, forecast skill assessment, predictive analytics, targeting methods, and simulation exercises.
  • Co-designing locally-led early action plans for floods, droughts and Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene (WASH) related public health risks, embedding behaviour change strategies, community engagement and inclusive service design.
  • Strengthening National Society capacity in early action, impact-based forecasting and risk knowledge, enabling local teams to act proactively based on early warnings.
  • Supporting National Societies to work with water and sanitation utilities on contingency planning, early action and infection prevention for WASH-related risks.
  • Helping National Societies integrate anticipatory action into national disaster risk management systems, policies and coordination mechanisms.
  • Documenting learning and supporting policy dialogue to inform national systems and sectoral policies.
  • Supporting National Societies in accessing the IFRC Disaster Response Emergency Fund.

Local example

In Zambia, the Zambia Red Cross Society worked with The Netherlands Red Cross and the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre to develop Early Action Protocols (EAPs) for both floods and droughts, building the foundation for a national anticipatory action system.

“The drought EAP is a cornerstone in our mission for disaster anticipatory actions. It enables us to proactively support our communities and mitigate the challenges that lie before us with foresight and preparedness.”

, – Wina Wina, Disaster Risk Management Unit Lead, Zambia Red Cross Society

Contact person

Would you like to get in touch? Feel free to reach out to the following team member.

Sheila Chemjor

Preparedness and Anticipatory Action Coordinator

schemjor@redcross.nl

Resources